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BehaviorForecastsProbablyHard's avatar

Nepal this year, and if my sources were not lying to me Bengladesh last year are sorta interesting.

The fact of them happening, and the location is potentially other than pure coincidence.

The Indian security services are an interesting mixture. They are sorta in separate chunks, on a per bordering country basis. (IIRC, if wikipedia years ago was correct.)

They have apparently had some interesting operational capabilities and choices in the past. East Pakistan.

I don't know their real history, nor what capabilities they have now.

The expected value for genuinely spontaneous events of the sort is probably generally higher there, and might also be higher now.

If India is making moves these days, even narrowly focused, they could have wider strategic thoughts.

There's also this news out of Burma, with the slave labor call centers, and also the leak of that software from the great firewall of China. (Which last probably speaks to a cyber actor of some sort.)

I guess where I was going, there is civilization, and there is the enemies of civilization. Right now a lot of the enemies of civilization, who seem to be desperate, really want to make the censorship work.

One model of a counter-force is the hidden hand with a master plan. Like, an all knowing and omnicompetent security organization. I find a lot of these sorts of model unpersuasive.

Another model, we were concerned about egg prices in America. If the difficulties, discontent, and disenchantment with communist elites are everywhere, then preference cascades could happen everywhere.

Dunno.

May be a good day for Civilization.

Clear Ether!

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streamfortyseven's avatar

This is taken from a draft of a post which I have not made yet, there's a bit of filling-out to do:

"And Tyler Robinson, who confessed to Charlie Kirk’s killing to his family members yesterday - and was then taken into custody - had part of the words of a very famous anti-fascist song inscribed on one of the unfired cartridges in his rifle. That song is “Bella Ciao”:

“In the 1940s, an unknown author adapted the mondine’s song of protest for the Italian resistance movement, telling the story of a young man who leaves his girlfriend to join the partisan militia, and, probably for the last time, says goodbye. This version offers a much darker narrative: “Take me, because I feel death approaching. If I die as a partisan, you must bury me / up in the mountain / under the shade of a beautiful flower / and all those who will pass by / will say ‘What a beautiful flower / This is the flower of the partisan / who died for freedom’” https://ig.ft.com/life-of-a-song/bella-ciao.html

Undoubtedly Robinson knows that the death penalty, which he faces, can be carried out by firing squad - much as was done by the Fascists in Italy in World War II. So it could be this sort of death that Robinson is seeking - but above all, he seeks martyrdom and death."

As to what got him to this point, it's probably some poison he picked up in college - and the colleges and schools need to be purged of this stuff, something I said about 12 years ago to one of the Missouri Board of Regents - but he replied that he was powerless to do so because of "academic freedom". Seeing these results, that "freedom" - actually "license" - to indoctrinate, because that's what professors and teachers who are loyal to the Maoist "woke" ideology do, they use their power over their students, and it is an immense power indeed, to force the students to hew closely to their Party line - or else - and that freedom must now be limited and these specialists in indoctrination must be fired *and shut out from similar positions* for life, it is now too dangerous to allow this to continue. This may necessitate the closure of entire departments (like the Philosophy Department at the University of Florida in 1988 which had been taken over by Marxists using their power to indoctrinate students) or schools - say, of "social sciences" and the like - rather like taking a frame out of the hive and burning it...

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